Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.178727 0.204407 0.233152 0.267839 0.308725 0.355586 0.413645
2025-11-16 0.135782 0.168771 0.209514 0.264070 0.336024 0.428824 0.559436
2025-11-23 0.110619 0.145790 0.192383 0.259716 0.356359 0.492939 0.705864
2025-11-30 0.097134 0.134206 0.186203 0.266259 0.389718 0.578639 0.901358
2025-12-07 0.084368 0.121006 0.174789 0.261963 0.404619 0.638056 1.069603
2025-12-14 0.075830 0.112423 0.168370 0.263376 0.427572 0.713671 1.284147
2025-12-21 0.068621 0.104723 0.161932 0.263199 0.447065 0.786470 1.513029
2025-12-28 0.063876 0.100204 0.159777 0.269555 0.478766 0.887823 1.829092
2026-01-04 0.059392 0.095497 0.156563 0.273289 0.505908 0.985918 2.169427
2026-01-11 0.055535 0.091359 0.153713 0.277076 0.533593 1.091163 2.562515
2026-01-18 0.052651 0.088554 0.152818 0.284342 0.569647 1.223208 3.072776
2026-01-25 0.049304 0.084541 0.149183 0.285502 0.592610 1.330397 3.557652
2026-02-01 0.046044 0.080426 0.145004 0.285208 0.612994 1.438538 4.098873
2026-02-08 0.042907 0.076241 0.140241 0.283030 0.628784 1.539907 4.669277
2026-02-15 0.039882 0.071976 0.134839 0.278642 0.638352 1.627314 5.236816
2026-02-22 0.038285 0.070333 0.134564 0.285811 0.678781 1.814777 6.276027
2026-03-01 0.035765 0.066614 0.129554 0.281155 0.687032 1.908340 6.999365
2026-03-08 0.034009 0.064285 0.127252 0.282691 0.712708 2.065318 8.095104
2026-03-15 0.032267 0.061829 0.124417 0.282499 0.733529 2.213421 9.254396
2026-03-22 0.031197 0.060689 0.124375 0.289406 0.776946 2.455694 11.072143
2026-03-29 0.029999 0.059165 0.123299 0.293464 0.812708 2.683690 13.012874
2026-04-05 0.028888 0.057737 0.122295 0.297581 0.849771 2.931591 15.309124
2026-04-12 0.028083 0.056916 0.122637 0.305483 0.901412 3.260726 18.484231